Just over the wire.
15 British Sailors have been captured by Iranian Forces while on duties in the Gulf.
No more deatils yet.
15 British Sailors have been captured by Iranian Forces while on duties in the Gulf.
No more deatils yet.
One thing I am quite sure of: no harm will come to the sailors and marines.
True...The only effective way to hurt Iran would be to stop buying their oil...They'd be living in caves within a year.
but China, Russia and France don't want to stop buying Oil or sell Weapons to them, just like their dealings with Iraq up to 4 years ago.
Don't get me wrong...My comment is in a perfect world situation...There are two things you could bank on in if a ruck began with Iran...Iran would not take on a force directly, it doesn't have the numbers or serviceabilty, but they will sink a couple of large oil tankers in the Straits of Hormuz and watch global markets go into meltdown and with it political resolve to continue fighting when the spams are paying $10 a gallon and inflation goes through the roof (and your roof, with the rest of your house, is repossessed) and secondly certain countries would almost certainly seize the opportunity to kick the spams in the teeth by being sympathetic to the Iranians and picking up cheap oil because of that...
Oil is/was worth $110 billion a year in 1990 (last time data was available) and along with gas is their only major export...So my comment stands, the only true way to hurt them is to stop buying the only product they have to sell....And it would have to be a worldwide ban on sales, not tied in with food or other products, and policed properly unlike Iraq's food for oil debacle.
Quite right, and as ILLKC correctly stated a war with them would be very messy (we would win the opening rounds, but it would be a bloodbath as they would just be like the Chinese in Korea). human wave attacks that would to have the hell knocked out of them by massive firepower and occupying the place afterward would be a non starter without conscription, nobody would have the manpower to do it, plus heavily losses from walking talking bombs. As for sinking Tankers, any action by the west would no doubt waste any offensive threat that can sink a tanker within two hundred mile of the straits. However that’s all hypothetical as the Yanks will not have the bottle. Iran in the end is only Sh!t stirring as the Ayatollahs and their lackeys need enemies to focus their peoples hate on, if they didn’t it would most likely be them that would be out on a limb and for the chop, from their own people, the same as most of the other Arab leaders.
I thought they would have been kept nearer to the scene of the alledged infringement.
And risk a daring rescue attempt by the SBS? Not likely. What annoyed me is that Margaret Beckett didn't speak to the Iranian Ambassador in person, one of her staff delivered a message.
This is obviously on a political knife edge at the moment, I just wonder the Americans would have handled things if this was 15 US sailors.
I was thinking about this yesterday, when there was an interview on the news with an American US Navy Cdr. It would have been interesting to have seen if the americans would have let rip on the Iranian Vessels.
I think if it had been US sailors then situation would have been a whole lot worse, at least the UK have some sort of diplomatic relations with the Iranians.
Hopefully the situation will be resolved quickly and the lads will be home for tea and dit's by next week.
The question is what will happen when the UN impose sanctions on IRAN later today or will they defer until this latest crisis has been delt with ?
Another thing.....the US said it was monitoring the positions of the boats etc and they were definatly in IRAQ waters...why not publish this info then ? Must be some radar scans or sat phots kicking around to prove one way or the other !!
This is obviously on a political knife edge at the moment, I just wonder the Americans would have handled things if this was 15 US sailors.
And risk a daring rescue attempt by the SBS? Not likely. What annoyed me is that Margaret Beckett didn't speak to the Iranian Ambassador in person, one of her staff delivered a message.